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Case Analysis

Where Was the Decision Point?

LORENZO L. SELLERSJanuary 28, 20266 MIN READ

After every significant failure, organizations hold some version of the same meeting. The timeline gets built, the findings get read, and everyone leaves with action items that quietly expire. Six months later, a different team repeats a structurally identical failure.

The meeting failed because it asked the wrong question. ‘What went wrong?’ produces a description. ‘Who is responsible?’ produces a name. Neither produces capability. The question that produces capability is: where was the Decision Point?

Here’s a practical method. Take the failure and reconstruct it backward, but don’t stop at events — mark the moments of available choice. The first complaint. The metric that drifted. The meeting where someone almost said something. Each of these is a point where a different decision was still possible, still affordable, still able to change the trajectory.

Then, at each marked point, ask three questions. Did anyone see it? (Detection.) Did anyone understand what it meant? (Interpretation.) Did anyone feel able and obligated to act? (Agency.) Failures almost always decompose into one of these three — and each has a different fix. Detection problems need better signals. Interpretation problems need better frameworks. Agency problems need better culture.

Notice what this method does to the room. ‘Where was the Decision Point?’ is not a prosecutorial question. It invites people to locate the system’s blind spots rather than defend their own conduct. The same facts get surfaced with a fraction of the defensiveness.

It also scales downward beautifully. A supervisor can run a five-minute version after a near miss: what happened, where could we have interrupted it, what will we watch for next time. Repeated weekly, this builds the recognition muscle that no annual training can.

A warning: the method dies if the answers are used to assign retroactive blame. The first time someone’s honest ‘I saw it and didn’t act’ gets punished, the questions stop getting answered. The review exists to build the organization’s eyes, not to build a case.

Every failure in your organization’s history contains a map of its Decision Points. Most organizations file the failure and lose the map. The ones that keep it get something rare: failures that only happen once.

Recognize the moments in your own organization.

YOUR ORGANIZATION WILL HAVEANOTHER DECISION POINT.

The question is whether your leaders will recognize it.